RACE AT A GLANCE
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* STORYLINE: When the Breeders’ Cup decided to abandon the national Pick Seven in favor of a Pick Six, the race for Juvenile Fillies was the one cast aside.
It was dumped primarily because it had often proven to be a formful race through the first 13 years of the Breeders’ Cup and was considered less likely than the six other races to produce a longshot winner.
Five of the Juvenile Fillies winners have paid odds of 6-5 or less, but there have been two big-priced upsetters in the race, both at Hollywood Park, which will play host to the Breeders’ Cup again Saturday.
In 1984, the inaugural year of John R. Gaines’ creation, Outstandingly lit up the board at $47.60, a race after Chief’s Crown got the Breeders’ Cup off to a chalky start with a victory worth $3.40.
Outstandingly didn’t even cross the wire first to win. Fran’s Valentine, the second-longest shot in the field of 11 at nearly 75-1, was the original winner, but was disqualified and placed 10th for interference in the stretch.
This not only moved Outstandingly from second to first, but moved Dusty Heart, the race longshot at 77-1, to second. That would have made for a healthy exacta payoff, but an exacta wasn’t offered on the Juvenile Fillies. Difficult to believe in this day and age, when horseplayers are saturated with exotic wagers.
The disqualification of Fran’s Valentine, who remains the only California-bred to have crossed under the wire first in a Breeders’ Cup race, was an obvious call. She and jockey Pat Valenzuela knocked Pirate’s Glow and Fernando Toro off stride and into favored Bessarabian, who finished sixth, early in the stretch, causing both fillies to lose whatever chance they had.
There were no bumps or trouble in 1987 when Epitome, a 30-1 shot, scored the biggest victory of her 14-race career and enabled Phil Hauswald, then 28, to become the youngest trainer to saddle a Breeders’ Cup winner.
Seventh in a field of 12 early and still eighth after six furlongs behind a rapid pace, the daughter of Summing made up a little more than six lengths in the final furlong to defeat Jeanne Jones, the 2-1 second choice, and jockey Bill Shoemaker. While some in the Jeanne Jones camp used the excuse that she was distracted by cameras, the simple fact was, she got tired after pressing the fast pace and the last furlong in the one-turn mile was run in a slow 14 seconds.
Besides providing surprises, the two races at Hollywood Park helped Outstandingly and Epitome earn Eclipse awards, each being voted the nation’s top 2-year-old filly. Outstandingly finished 1984 with a victory a month later in the Hollywood Starlet.
One thing seems certain about this year’s Juvenile Fillies--the pace will be fast.
Many in the field do their best running on the lead, among them probable favorite Countess Diana. A winner of four of five, she has never been worse than second at any point ranging from 4 1/2 furlongs to 1 1/16 miles, the distance of her last victory in the Alcibiades last month at Keeneland. She and Beautiful Pleasure went fast--1:09 2/5--for six furlongs, but staggered home in 1:45 1/5.
If they go too fast too soon, anything can happen in the kickoff to Breeders’ Cup XIV and stretch runners have done very well in this race.
*
* KEY TO THE RACE: The post position draw Wednesday could play a big part in this race. With a short run to the first turn going 1 1/16 miles at Hollywood Park, those who draw posts on the far outside will be at a disadvantage. Would anybody want to take a short price on Countess Diana if she lands in post 14? A filly has never won the Juvenile Fillies gate to wire. Flanders was the closest in 1994 as she battled throughout with Serena’s Song before winning by a head. The last two winners, Storm Song and My Flag, both rallied after being seventh early.
THE HORSES
* Balisian Beauty might have the right style for the race, but simply doesn’t look fast enough. This will be the first Breeders’ Cup starter for trainer Caesar Dominguez.
* Bay Harbor is one of two (along with Love Lock) trainer Wayne Lukas will start in a race he has won three times with Twilight Ridge, Open Mind and Flanders. A daughter of Forty Niner, she has won two of three, but the Juvenile Fillies will be her first try around two turns.
* Beautiful Pleasure was the 1-2 favorite in the Alcibiades but weakened in the final quarter-mile of what was essentially a match race between her and Countess Diana. That would lead to reason that she’s a need-to-lead type and no one is going to hand her the lead Saturday. On the other hand, she could improve in her second distance attempt.
* Career Collection has the Cal-bred curse against her, but is coming off an easy victory in the Cal Cup Juvenile Fillies, where she rolled home by nine lengths after getting a perfect trip on a moderate pace. The competition will be much better and no one knows how she will react with only two weeks between starts.
* Carrielle might be the closer to look for in her first chance around two turns. She also could be the one to benefit if everybody starts wobbling in the final furlong. She made up ground in the Matron at a flat mile and came from last to break her maiden at Saratoga.
* Countess Diana is the likely favorite and deservedly so, based on her record. However, it’s difficult to forget how she crawled to the wire against a small field in the Alcibiades. She does have a top-notch trainer in Pat Byrne, however. His horses are winning about 36% of their races this year.
* Diamond On The Run has been defeated by three of her rivals in this race but looks like the kind that could sneak into the exacta or trifecta. And she has the pedigree to improve around two turns. She’s by Kris S. out of a Big Spruce mare.
* Kirby’s Song is the pride of Canada and is unbeaten since being stretched out. The Sultry Song filly won going a mile on the turf at Woodbine, then won going 1 1/16 miles on the main track. Her trainer, Tino Attard, has been doing well lately.
* Lily O’Gold is a longshot who earned her two victories at Ellis Park and Turfway Park. She picked up the pieces and ran second in the Alcibiades, but a good come-from-behinder could have won that day, considering how slow the last 2 1/2 furlongs were run.
* Love Lock doesn’t look fast enough to make the lead and she lost ground in the final furlong of the Oak Leaf when the final quarter was run in 26 1/5 seconds. She’s also lost four in a row after winning the first two starts of her life, and her future may be sprinting.
* Nancy’s Glitter has been tearing them up at Florida’s Calder Race Course, winning her last five and earning more than $464,000. Don’t look for the streak to continue because she won’t see the lead on Saturday. This will be the first Breeders’ Cup starter for Jamaican trainer Frederick Knibbs and owners Cecilia and Elbert Dixon.
* Primaly has been first or second in four of five in Canada but was defeated convincingly by Kirby’s Song. She couldn’t possibly do much worse than her sire did in his lone Breeders’ Cup appearance. Alydeed finished 13th of 14 in the 1993 Sprint at Santa Anita.
* Vivid Angel appears to be trainer Bob Baffert’s lone hope, now that he has elected to skip the race with Eastside Westside, and with Marie J only a longshot. Vivid Angel took the lead from the inside in the Oak Leaf and kept on going, but what happens if she draws an outside post? Even with the magic touch of Eddie Delahoussaye, the daughter of Septieme Ciel does not seem the type who can win from off the pace.
* Marie J is a daughter of Mr. Prospector and she beat a bad field of maidens by 15 lengths last time out, but was beaten the time before by first-time starter Well Chosen, who failed to threaten 15 days later in the Frizette.
* Came Unwound brought an unbeaten record to California from Louisiana and found the going a lot rougher. She finished fifth of nine, but did come back to work a solid mile in 1:39 3/5.
* Ultimate Force took advantage of a fast pace and suspect competition to win a small stake at Bay Meadows last month. The Canadian-bred has won four of six but can anyone imagine a horse that began a career at Hastings Park winning a Breeders’ Cup race?
*
* Post: 10:55 a.m.
* Distance: 1 1/16 miles on dirt.
* Purse: $1 million.
(BEGIN TEXT OF INFOBOX / INFOGRAPHIC)
PROBABLE STARTERS (IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER)
Horse: 1. Balisian Beauty
Wt.: 119
Jockey: K. Desormeaux
Trainer: C. Dominguez
Owner: Transpac Holdings Inc.
Odds: 20-1
*
Horse: 2. Bay Harbor
Wt.: 119
Jockey: A. Solis
Trainer: W. Lukas
Owner: Overbrook Farm
Odds: 8-1
*
Horse: 3. Beautiful Pleasure
Wt.: 119
Jockey: J. Bailey
Trainer: J. Ward Jr.
Owner: J. Oxley
Odds: 4-1
*
Horse: 4. Career Collection
Wt.: 119
Jockey: C. Nakatani
Trainer: W. Dollase
Owner: Golden Eagle Farm
Odds: 8-1
*
Horse: 5. Carrielle
Wt.: 119
Jockey: J. Chavez
Trainer: H. James Bond
Owner: V. Kraft Payson
Odds: 15-1
*
Horse: 6. Countess Diana
Wt.: 119
Jockey: S. Sellers
Trainer: P. Byrne
Owner: R. & N. Kaster, Mr. & Mrs. D. Propson
Odds: 2-1
*
Horse: 7. Diamond On The Run
Wt.: 119
Jockey: R. Davis
Trainer: S. Hough
Owner: B. and R. Roberts
Odds: 10-1
*
Horse: 8. Kirby’s Song
Wt.: 119
Jockey: T. Kabel
Trainer: T. Attard
Owner: Kirby Canada Farm
Odds: 10-1
*
Horse: 9. Lily O’Gold
Wt.: 119
Jockey: C. McCarron
Trainer: V. Foley
Owner: A. Braun and K. English
Odds: 20-1
*
Horse: 10. Love Lock
Wt.: 119
Jockey: D. Flores
Trainer: W. Lukas
Owner: M. Tabor
Odds: 12-1
*
Horse: 11. Marie J.
Wt.: 119
Jockey: G. Stevens
Trainer: B. Baffert
Owner: A. and M. Jones
Odds: 15-1
*
Horse: 12. Nancy’s Glitter
Wt.: 119
Jockey: P. Rodriguez
Trainer: F. Knibbs
Owner: C. and E. Dixon
Odds: 12-1
*
Horse: 13. Primaly
Wt.: 119
Jockey: M. Walls
Trainer: R. Attfield
Owner: Kinghaven Farms
Odds: 12-1
*
Horse: 14. Vivid Angel
Wt.: 119
Jockey: E. Delahoussaye
Trainer: B. Baffert
Owner: E. and N. Friendly
Odds: 10-1
ALSO ELIGIBLE (LISTED IN ORDER OF PREFERENCE)Horse: 15. Came Unwound
Wt.: 119
Jockey: No Rider
Trainer: J. Gaston
Owner: Cutchen, Edmondson & Gaston
Odds: 30-1
*
Horse: 16. Ultimate Force
Wt.: 119
Jockey: No Rider
Trainer: M. Turner
Owner: A. and J. Turner
Odds: 30-1
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